Corzine Holds Narrow Lead in YouGov’s New Jersey Poll

PALO ALTO, California — October 31, 2009. YouGov, the leading global online polling organization, finds that incumbent Jon Corzine holds a two percent lead over challenger Chris Christie in the 2009 New Jersey Governor’s race. YouGov polled 780 likely voters between October 27 and 30, 2009. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.

 

If the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

Chris Christie – Republican 41%
Jon Corzine – Democrat 43%
Chris Daggett – Independent 8%
Not sure 8%

 

Although Barack Obama easily carried New Jersey in last year’s Presidential election with 57% of the vote and remains relatively popular in the Garden state (with a 55% approval rating), Corzine loses many Obama voters, while Christie holds onto most of the McCain voters.

 

 
2008 Presidential Vote
 
Obama
McCain
Chris Christie
11%
84%
Jon Corzine
68%
7%
Chris Daggett
11%
4%
Not sure
10%
4%

 

The most important issues in New Jersey, according to voters (who were allowed to pick up to three issues each) are property taxes (69%), jobs and the economy (57%), corruption in government (50%), state government spending (42%) and health care (35%). Corzine does best among voters concerned with health care the economy, while Christie is strongest among voters concerned with state spending, corruption, and property taxes.

Methodology

Interviews were conducted online using YouGov’s PollingPoint panel. YouGov uses a matched sample methodology that selects respondents to match the New Jersey registered voter population in terms of demographics (age, race, gender, education, employment status, income, marital status, children), past voting behavior, and political attitudes (interest in politics, party registration, and ideology).

About YouGov

YouGov Polimetrix is the North American subsidiary of YouGov PLC, which conducts polls around the world using its online panels.

Contact

For additional information, contact Douglas Rivers, CEO of YouGov Polimetrix at (650) 462-8000 or email doug@yougov.com.

 

 

A PDF version of this story is available here. Toplines and crosstabs are also available.